← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 39% | 2.45 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 35% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 12' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 35' | ⚽ | Christian Kinsombi · SV Sandhausen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 83' | 🟨 | Julian Korb · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 256.00 | 226.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.27 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1442.66 | 1504.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.21 | 39.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 38.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 36.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.07 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.53 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |