← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.55 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 16% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −1.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Darmstadt −1.5 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 72% | 1.34 |
| Under | 28% | 3.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 7' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Darmstadt |
| 25' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 38' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Darmstadt |
| 72' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 79' | 🟥 | Marvin Çuni · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 318.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1556.19 | 1542.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.63 | 23.84 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 57.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 8.88 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 25.99 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.00 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |