← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 |
| Karlsruhe win | 19% | 5.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Heidenheim −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.44 |
| Under | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Kilian Jakob · Karlsruhe |
| 38' | ⚽ | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
| 42' | ⚽ | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
| 60' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5370.00 | 834.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.65 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1483.77 | 1462.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.26 | -31.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 49.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |