← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Nurnberg win | 28% | 3.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0.5 | 51% | 1.94 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.38 |
| Under | 30% | 3.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 86' | ⚽ | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 88' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 683.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1487.42 | 1593.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.76 | 26.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 1.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |