← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 |
| Ingolstadt win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ingolstadt −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under | 38% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Michael Heinloth · Hannover |
| 11' | ⚽ | Valmir Sulejmani · Ingolstadt |
| 31' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Hannover |
| 36' | 🟨 | Thomas Keller · Ingolstadt |
| 39' | 🟨 | Visar Musliu · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | ⚽ | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 74' | ⚽ | Linton Maina · Hannover |
| 75' | ⚽ | Filip Bilbija · Ingolstadt |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jonatan Kotzke · Ingolstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Pick · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 165.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1444.10 | 1361.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.86 | -9.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 39.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 27.12 |
| state index | -0.07 | -1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.68 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |