← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, May 15, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 76% | 1.26 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.00 |
| Regensburg win | 9% | 12.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen −1.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Regensburg −1.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.39 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Christian Groß · SV Werder Bremen |
| 10' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
| 17' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 57' | 🟨 | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Werder Bremen | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | wohninvest WESERSTADION |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 195.00 | 1779.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1615.30 | 1412.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.42 | -29.24 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 67.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.58 |
| league points | 60.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 28.10 | 26.92 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |