← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, May 7, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.75 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 15' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 17' | ⚽ | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 41' | 🟨 | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jakov Medić · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 47' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 51' | 🟨 | Andreas Vindheim · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | 🟥 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 5 |
| 10 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| Marcel Beifus · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟥 | Igor Matanović · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 67.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1587.54 | 1515.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.99 | -25.44 |
| eye test v1 | 1.14 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 59.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 8.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 26.09 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.36 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |