← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, May 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Heidenheim win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 30' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 55' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jonas Föhrenbach · Heidenheim |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
| 81' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1771.00 | 5362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1428.65 | 1467.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.86 | -38.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| league points | 40.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 27.51 |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.92 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |