← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, May 7, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 77% | 1.24 |
| Draw | 15% | 7.00 |
| Hannover win | 9% | 12.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1.75 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Hannover −1.75 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under | 27% | 3.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 20' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 22' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 39' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mark Diemers · Hannover |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 310.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1603.77 | 1448.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.32 | 15.87 |
| eye test v1 | 1.73 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 54.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.91 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 27.18 |
| state index | 1.11 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | -1.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |