← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, May 6, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 49% | 1.96 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 26% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Florent Muslija · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marco Schuster · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Dennis Diekmeier · SV Sandhausen |
| 59' | 🟨 | Aleksandr Zhirov · SV Sandhausen |
| 59' | ⚽ | Philipp Klement · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marcel Mehlem · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kutucu · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 4 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| 2.80 |
| coach days | 309.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 4.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1533.69 | 1451.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.60 | 26.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 48.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 59.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 34.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -2.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 28.75 |
| state index | 0.37 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -1.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |