← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 72% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 17% | 6.04 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −1.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Erzgebirge AUE −1.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 70% | 1.37 |
| Under | 30% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 18' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 19' | ⚽ | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 39' | ⚽ | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 74' | ⚽ | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 3 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 303.00 | 180.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1558.23 | 1342.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.70 | -1.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 54.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.36 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |