← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 43% | 2.25 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.66 |
| Under | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
| 70' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Maximilian Thalhammer · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 1215.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1422.54 | 1535.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.08 | 19.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 49.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 39.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.55 | 25.70 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |