← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Apr 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Dankert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Afeez Aremu · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Finn Ole Becker · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Taylan Duman · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 667.00 | 667.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1517.87 | 1500.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.49 | -18.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 67.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| league points | 53.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 25.62 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |