← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Apr 29, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Koslowski
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 |
| Karlsruhe win | 19% | 5.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 57' | 🟨 | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 149.00 | 818.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1434.15 | 1481.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.88 | -0.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| league points | 36.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.75 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |