← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Calogero Rizzuto · Hansa Rostock |
| 8' | ⚽ (og) | Lukas Fröde · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 11' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 25' | ⚽ (pen) | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 37' | 🟨 | Erik Majetschak · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 45' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 52' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Hansa Rostock |
| 84' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 174.00 | 1209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1342.06 | 1423.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.85 | 22.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.64 |
| league points | 22.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 28.14 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |