← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| SV Sandhausen −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Erik Zenga · SV Sandhausen |
| 84' | ⚽ | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 662.00 | 235.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 4.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1521.16 | 1439.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.48 | 7.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.60 | -0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| league points | 50.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 62.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | -2.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 28.56 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |