← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 23, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Darmstadt win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt +0 | 51% | 1.97 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 18' | 🟨 | Jackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 35' | ⚽ | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tim Skarke · Darmstadt |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcel Hartel · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 80' | ⚽ | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Philipp Ziereis · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Isherwood · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 661.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1529.08 | 1547.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.87 | -40.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.44 |
| league points | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |