← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Björn Rother · Hansa Rostock |
| 44' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 59' | ⚽ | Nicklas Shipnoski · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nik Omladič · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟥 | Danylo Sikan · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 1202.00 | 1751.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1424.46 | 1438.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.39 | 1.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 37.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.41 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.43 | -0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.61 | 26.87 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.43 | -0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |