← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 43% | 2.24 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 14' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 29' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 34' | ⚽ | Phillip Tietz · Darmstadt |
| 42' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Braydon Manu · Darmstadt |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kerim Çalhanoğlu · FC Schalke 04 |
| 62' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Frank Ronstadt · Darmstadt |
| 85' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 21 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| 85' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · FC Schalke 04 |
| coach days | 290.00 | 47.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1566.89 | 1579.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.18 | 21.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | 1.45 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.82 |
| league points | 51.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.40 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 26.72 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |