← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 70% | 1.40 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Karlsruhe win | 12% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Karlsruhe −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.46 |
| Under | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 23' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Hamburger SV |
| 30' | 🟨 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | 🟥 | Daniel Gordon · Karlsruhe |
| 32' | ⚽ | Mario Vušković · Hamburger SV |
| 68' | ⚽ | Josha Vagnoman · Hamburger SV |
| 71' | 🟨 | Benjamin Goller · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 289.00 | 805.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1570.50 | 1497.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.10 | 0.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.93 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.12 | 28.91 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.35 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |