← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 10, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: C. Günsch
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Karlsruhe win | 27% | 3.68 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 36' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 47' | 🟥 | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 50' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 69' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 81' | 🟨 | Philip Heise · Karlsruhe |
| 84' | ⚽ | Maximilian Thalhammer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Benteler-Arena |
| coach days | 283.00 | 799.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1519.04 | 1494.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.60 | -1.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.30 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 40.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.49 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 29.09 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |