← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Nikola Dovedan · Nurnberg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 58' | ⚽ | Luca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Nurnberg |
| 73' | 🟨 | Asger Sørensen · Nurnberg |
| 82' | ⚽ | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | André Leipold · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 647.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1501.17 | 1582.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.35 | 8.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| league points | 46.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 19.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.50 | 27.23 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |