← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.30 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 29% | 3.66 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 23' | ⚽ | Hendrik Weydandt · Hannover |
| 54' | ⚽ | Nikola Trujić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 57' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 75' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Trujić · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 159.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1331.12 | 1431.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.16 | -25.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.78 |
| league points | 19.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 28.67 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |