← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 51% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Heidenheim win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.76 |
| Under | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 52' | ⚽ | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
| 61' | 🟨 | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | 🟨 | Patrick Mainka · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Darko Churlinov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 19 |
| 11 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 39.00 | 5334.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1567.51 | 1519.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.90 | 5.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.71 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 50.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 44.60 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.01 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |