← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Apr 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Ingolstadt win | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt −0.5 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Regensburg −0.5 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.81 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Leon Guwara · Ingolstadt |
| 40' | 🟨 | Merlin Röhl · Ingolstadt |
| 43' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 56' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 74' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Patrick Schmidt · Ingolstadt |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tobias Schröck · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Ingolstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 1742.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1441.99 | 1371.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.64 | -33.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.66 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |