← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Apr 8, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 48' | 🟨 | Simon Rhein · Hansa Rostock |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ao Tanaka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 64' | ⚽ | Shinta Karl Appelkamp · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 86' | 🟨 | Thomas Meissner · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 66.00 | 1193.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1509.72 | 1435.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.94 | 36.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.20 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.26 | 28.15 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -1.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |