← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Siewer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Karlsruhe win | 28% | 3.54 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Ricardo Van Rhijn · Karlsruhe |
| 31' | ⚽ | Daniel Ginczek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 38' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 83' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 792.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1496.16 | 1508.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.37 | 19.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 15.75 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 29.11 | 27.09 |
| state index | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.65 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |