← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Apr 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 66% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.91 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 14% | 7.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| SV Werder Bremen −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Anthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen |
| 64' | ⚽ | Pascal Testroet · SV Sandhausen |
| 73' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Werder Bremen | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | wohninvest WESERSTADION |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 153.00 | 214.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 4.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1613.01 | 1425.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.88 | 16.15 |
| eye test v1 | 1.52 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 17.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 62.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 14.67 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 28.65 |
| state index | 0.70 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |