← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 |
| Regensburg win | 28% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 27' | 🟥 | Carlo Boukhalfa · Regensburg |
| 28' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Regensburg |
| 33' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 39' | ⚽ | Sebastian Stolze · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charalambos Makridis · Regensburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 122.00 | 1736.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1432.73 | 1440.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.44 | -8.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 63.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| league points | 31.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 26.31 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |