← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Apr 1, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Ingolstadt −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟥 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 24' | ⚽ | Patrick Schmidt · Ingolstadt |
| 28' | ⚽ | Visar Musliu · Ingolstadt |
| 38' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Ingolstadt |
| 56' | 🟨 | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 69' | ⚽ | Antonio Jonjić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 89' | ⚽ | Sören Gonther · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andreas Poulsen · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| coach days | 121.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1363.83 | 1344.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.59 | -12.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.83 |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 12.17 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.50 | -0.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 27.77 |
| state index | -1.28 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.63 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |