← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Mar 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 41% | 2.35 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Regensburg −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 66' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 1723.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1429.75 | 1515.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.22 | -13.33 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 49.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 33.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.19 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 26.82 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |