← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.08 |
| Hannover win | 19% | 5.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hannover −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 43' | ⚽ | Ko Itakura · FC Schalke 04 |
| 50' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 54' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| coach days | 18.00 | 108.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1555.25 | 1438.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.45 | 9.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 44.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.28 | 28.56 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |