← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Mar 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Tim Breithaupt · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 51' | 🟨 | Daniel O'Shaughnessy · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Philipp Hofmann · Karlsruhe |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jan Hochscheidt · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 85' | ⚽ | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marc Lorenz · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Erzgebirgsstadion |
| coach days | 137.00 | 776.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1358.91 | 1481.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.01 | 20.34 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 19.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.80 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.76 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 29.00 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |