← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Mar 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Ingolstadt win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ingolstadt +0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.71 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Dominik Franke · Ingolstadt |
| 38' | 🟨 | Malick Thiaw · FC Schalke 04 |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · Ingolstadt |
| 55' | ⚽ | Rodrigo Zalazar · FC Schalke 04 |
| 71' | ⚽ | Malick Thiaw · FC Schalke 04 |
| 81' | ⚽ | Dominick Drexler · FC Schalke 04 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Valmir Sulejmani · Ingolstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ingolstadt | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Audi-Sportpark |
| coach days | 102.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1382.13 | 1542.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.56 | -9.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.70 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 15.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.04 | 25.83 |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.39 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |