← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Mar 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Nurnberg win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 83' | ⚽ | Tom Krauß · Nurnberg |
| 87' | ⚽ | Erik Shuranov · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 102.00 | 620.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.29 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1456.32 | 1500.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.29 | -7.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| league points | 31.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 25.33 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |