← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Cortus
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Heidenheim win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Heidenheim +0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under | 45% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Christian Kühlwetter · Heidenheim |
| 59' | 🟨 | Kevin Sessa · Heidenheim |
| 63' | ⚽ | Stefan Schimmer · Heidenheim |
| 75' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · SV Werder Bremen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Anthony Jung · SV Werder Bremen |
| 87' | 🟥 | Marnon Busch · Heidenheim |
| 89' | 🟨 | Kevin Müller · Heidenheim |
| 89' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 5306.00 | 131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1502.47 | 1616.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.13 | 20.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | 1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 68.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| league points | 39.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.17 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 28.40 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |