← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Dresden win | 25% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden +0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Darmstadt +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.84 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Guram Giorbelidze · Dresden |
| 26' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 78' | 🟨 | Robin Becker · Dresden |
| 84' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Dresden |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 23 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 818.00 | 240.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1393.71 | 1574.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.01 | -29.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | -0.89 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.90 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 26.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.08 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 22.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.57 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |