← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: C. Dingert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Nurnberg win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 33' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Nurnberg |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
| 63' | ⚽ | Taylan Duman · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 1152.00 | 605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1399.41 | 1474.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.87 | -33.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| league points | 25.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.77 | 25.48 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |