← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Karlsruhe win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Tim Breithaupt · Karlsruhe |
| 27' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 34' | ⚽ | Kyoung-Rok Choi · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 80' | 🟨 | Henning Matriciani · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 756.00 | 362.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1496.28 | 1558.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.77 | 18.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | 0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.33 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 32.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.93 | 26.25 |
| state index | 0.15 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |