← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Feb 25, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Hartmann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Holstein Kiel |
| 52' | 🟨 | Finn Porath · Holstein Kiel |
| 53' | 🟨 | Dominik Kaiser · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sebastian Stolze · Hannover |
| 65' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Hannover |
| 72' | ⚽ | Niklas Hult · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 20 |
| 10 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 86.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1456.55 | 1504.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.31 | 9.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 28.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |