← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Feb 20, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Aarnink
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 23% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 59' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 65' | ⚽ | Danylo Sikan · Hansa Rostock |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mathias Honsak · Darmstadt |
| 69' | 🟨 | Danylo Sikan · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 234.00 | 1146.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1580.52 | 1393.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.20 | 12.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | 1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 40.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | -1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |