← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Regensburg win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Regensburg +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Regensburg |
| 12' | 🟨 | Lino Tempelmann · Nurnberg |
| 35' | ⚽ | Pascal Köpke · Nurnberg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Taylan Duman · Nurnberg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kilian Fischer · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabian Nürnberger · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan-Niklas Beste · Regensburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 18 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 598.00 | 1694.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1462.96 | 1449.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.04 | -22.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.69 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 33.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.16 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |