← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Sather
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Karlsruhe win | 26% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Daniel O'Shaughnessy · Karlsruhe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alexander Mühling · Holstein Kiel |
| 67' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcel Benger · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| coach days | 141.00 | 749.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 3.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1524.08 | 1476.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.55 | -11.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 68.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 31.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.46 | 27.36 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |