← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Feb 18, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Badstübner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 49% | 2.04 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Marius Bülter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · FC Schalke 04 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Salif Sané · FC Schalke 04 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Florian Flick · FC Schalke 04 |
| 74' | ⚽ | Darko Churlinov · FC Schalke 04 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Martin Fraisl · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Malick Thiaw · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 354.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1547.13 | 1523.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.27 | -15.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.03 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |