← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Zwayer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Hannover win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Darmstadt +0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Sebastian Stolze · Darmstadt |
| 20' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Darmstadt |
| 35' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 49' | 🟨 | Fabian Holland · Darmstadt |
| 50' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 60' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Hannover |
| 61' | ⚽ | Aaron Seydel · Darmstadt |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gaël Ondoua · Hannover |
| 81' | 🟨 | Thomas Isherwood · Darmstadt |
| 84' | 🟨 | Patric Pfeiffer · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | HDI-Arena |
| coach days | 74.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1428.63 | 1583.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.33 | 2.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| league points | 24.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 20.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 26.67 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -1.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |