← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Feb 13, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: H. Osmers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 41% | 2.39 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 30% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | ⚽ | Blendi Idrizi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 47' | ⚽ | Khaled Narey · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 56' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 78' | 🟨 | Jordy de Wijs · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 89' | 🟨 | Andre Hoffmann · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 12.00 | 349.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1477.98 | 1557.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.86 | 34.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 1.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.81 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 20.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 11.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 21.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |