← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: N. Winter
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg win | 37% | 2.62 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +0 | 51% | 1.95 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Etienne Amenyido · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Guido Burgstaller · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexander Meyer · Regensburg |
| 56' | ⚽ | Andreas Albers · Regensburg |
| 66' | ⚽ | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 73' | ⚽ | David Otto · Regensburg |
| 76' | 🟨 | Daniel-Kofi Kyereh · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 84' | 🟨 | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 1687.00 | 591.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1458.98 | 1527.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.15 | -32.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 31.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.15 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |