← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Fri, Feb 11, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Werder Bremen win | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0.5 | 52% | 1.86 |
| SV Werder Bremen +0.5 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Haris Duljević · Hansa Rostock |
| 33' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Hansa Rostock |
| 41' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 42' | 🟨 | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Leonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen |
| 63' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 74' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · SV Werder Bremen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 83' | ⚽ | Robin Meißner · Hansa Rostock |
| 84' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | SV Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 🟨 |
| Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Friedl · SV Werder Bremen |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 1137.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1399.41 | 1602.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.61 | 51.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.98 | 1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 66.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 24.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 28.06 | 28.11 |
| state index | -0.10 | 1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.45 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |