← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sun, Feb 6, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Dresden −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 10' | ⚽ | Nils Fröling · Hansa Rostock |
| 13' | ⚽ | Nils Fröling · Hansa Rostock |
| 18' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Hansa Rostock |
| 47' | 🟨 | Christoph Daferner · Dresden |
| 60' | 🟨 | Oliver Batista Meier · Dresden |
| 60' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 63' | ⚽ | Julius Kade · Dresden |
| 64' | 🟨 | Lukas Fröde · Hansa Rostock |
| 85' | 🟨 | Yannick Stark · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 4 |
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
| 4 | On target | 13 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion |
| coach days | 798.00 | 1132.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1408.66 | 1377.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.20 | -12.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.43 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.80 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 24.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 27.70 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |