← 2. Bundesliga 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Erzgebirge AUE +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · SV Sandhausen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Anthony Barylla · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 44' | ⚽ (pen) | Cebio Soukou · SV Sandhausen |
| 47' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 50' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · SV Sandhausen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ben Zolinski · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 63' | 🟨 | Janik Bachmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 69' | ⚽ | Christian Kinsombi · SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tom Trybull · SV Sandhausen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Bussmann · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Sandhausen | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | BWT-Stadion am Hardtwald |
| Prince-Osei Owusu · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 157.00 | 96.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1374.13 | 1368.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.92 | -43.21 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.60 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 13.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | -1.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.97 | 28.26 |
| state index | -0.81 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |